Saturday, August 12, 2006

2004 Statistical Voting Anomalies Revisited

Robert F Kennedy Jr has a stunning voting fraud argument in a recent Rolling Stone on 2004's presidential election. He examines it from every angle (polling discrepancies, voting surpression in predominantly African American/urban districts where Democrats are strongly favored, overseas ballots never arriving and how all of these voting errata skewed heavily in Bush's favor). Studies since have shown that roughly one out of every 100 ballots cast were spoiled by "faulty voting equipment."

Kennedy didn't rely strictly on articles or even recycle other information, though copious footnotes abound. He went straight to Ohio and spoke with elections officials, sifted through records and personally investigated. Long a hero for his environmental advocacy, his efforts here are equally stunning. Now he's calling for a criminal investigation and the article attests to his layout of enough fact to "convince a jury."



But the part that really stuck with me was this:

The evidence is especially strong in Ohio. In January, a team of mathematicians from the National Election Data Archive, a nonpartisan watchdog group, compared the state's exit polls against the certified vote count in each of the forty-nine precincts polled by Edison/Mitofsky. In twenty-two of those precincts -- nearly half of those polled -- they discovered results that differed widely from the official tally. Once again -- against all odds -- the widespread discrepancies were stacked massively in Bush's favor: In only two of the suspect twenty-two precincts did the disparity benefit Kerry. The wildest discrepancy came from the precinct Mitofsky numbered ''27,'' in order to protect the anonymity of those surveyed. According to the exit poll, Kerry should have received sixty-seven percent of the vote in this precinct. Yet the certified tally gave him only thirty-eight percent. The statistical odds against such a variance are just shy of one in 3 billion.(40)



For anyone still doubting massive election fraud was perpetrated by the GOP on a national level, you owe it to yourself to read the entire article.
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